Indian Country politics and public policy

Commentary by Mark Trahant

Trahant Reports

15.

I’ll have a full report in a day or two. But the headline is that the Native candidates were running against a tide. Most of the support for Trump surfaced in rural areas, often the same districts as Native candidates.
 
That’s certainly what happened in the three House races in Washington, Montana, and North Dakota.
 
As it’s said in the song about Joe Hill.
What they forgot to kill
Went on to organize
Went on to organize
 
#NativeElect16

14.

So what does a Trump presidency look like for Indian Country? This will be the first time that the Republicans will have all the levers of power: the Supreme Court (probably for twenty years or so); the House, the Senate; and the White House.

Biggest immediate impacts: The abrogation of international agreements on climate change, full scale energy production, and a fight over the Affordable Care Act (including the Indian Health Care Improvement Act).

Players: Ross Swimmer will be the go-to-guy for Indian Country.
#NativeElect16

13.

#NativeElect16 Minnesota: Rep. Peggy Flanagan has a 63 to 36 point lead with 9 of 14 precincts reporting; Rep. Mary Kunesh-Podein was leading by 30 points; Rep. Susan Allen was re-elected; Chilah Brown was trailing by a 2:1 margin in her state senate race. No numbers yet in for Jerry Loud, Jamie Becker-Finn, and Donna Bergstrom.

12.

Montana has a lot of partial precincts reporting and Denise Juneau still trails Rep. Ryan Zinke by about 9 points.

One concern: She needs to split Yellowstone County, Billings area, and with the precincts reporting she is trailing 60 percent to 38 percent. Screenshot 2016-11-08 21.49.57.png

Eleven.

More than half the vote is now counted in North Dakota.
#NativeElect16
Chase Iron Eyes is at 22% of the vote; Rep. Kevin Cramer, 71% in the races for Insurance Commissioner and
Ruth Buffalo at 25 % and Marlo Hunte-Beaubrun at 20%.

For what it’s worth: All three of the Native candidates earned more votes than the Democrat NPL candidates for governor and U.S. Senate.

Screenshot 2016-11-08 21.38.38.png

Ten.

Rep. Tom Cole and Rep. Markwayne Mullin easily won re-election in Oklahoma. They are currently the only two tribal members serving in Congress.
Cole had nearly 70% of the vote and Mullin just topped that percentage.
Mullin is chair of the Native Americans for Trump.

Nine.

Denise Juneau trails Rep. Ryan Zinke in the first batch of ballots released by the Montana Secretary of State.

Screenshot 2016-11-08 21.17.53.png

 

Unofficial result from North Carolina. John Alexander opened up a lead over Laurel Deegan-Fricke with all precincts reporting. Final tally is 50% to 45.74%. #NativeElect16

Boost Post

 

Eight.

Update from North Carolina. Laurel Deegan-Fricke has pulled within 2,000 votes with one precinct to go. I suspect on top of that there would also be contested ballots and other counts that usually don’t happen until after election day.

One interesting bit: Deegan-Fricke easily won the absentee ballots. Really demonstrates the power of early voting.

#NativeElect16

Screenshot 2016-11-08 20.47.50.png

Seven.

Again. Early numbers. South Dakota reports first batch of votes for Public Utilities Commission and Henry Red Cloud is held under 20 percent of the vote.
#NativeElect16

Screenshot 2016-11-08 20.26.56.png

Sixth post:

The networks have already called North Dakota for Trump (no surprise) and the early returns are not encouraging for Chase IronEyes First batch of votes shows him just under 18 percent to Rep. Kevin Cramer’s 76.6%. It’s a small batch, 2 percent. In the same batch Ruth Buffalo and Marlo Hunte-Beaubrun also trail by similar margins. #NativeElect16

 

Screenshot 2016-11-08 19.54.03.png

Fifth post: Update from North Carolina, State Senate. #NativeElect16
Laurel Deegan-Fricke still trails by less than 5,000 votes with three precincts yet to report.
A look at the numbers really captures the state of politics in 2016: The blue precincts, where Deegan-Fricke wins, are overwhelming. And vice versa for the red precincts. (One blue is kind of even, but most are really one sided.)

Next up: Wisconsin, North Dakota, South Dakota.

 

Screenshot 2016-11-08 19.16.17.png

Fourth post:

#NativeVote16 Laurel Deegan-Fricke trails by about 3,000 votes in a North Carolina Senate race. 77% of precincts have been counted, so there is a long way to go.

Third post: 

Coal is one of those issues that, I think, is completely mis-framed. Republicans blamed the Environmental Protection Administration and regulation on coal declines. But coal as a marketable resource is in decline globally (far beyond the EPA’s reach). Add to that the problems of safe, environmental transportation and it shows why the market has collapsed.

Today it was an issue on Native America Calling when Rep. Sharon Clahchischilliage talked about coal and jobs. But no matter who wins, coal will continue its decline.

In China, for example, coal use dropped 3.7% last year and that was the second year in a row.

Coal was on the ballot in West Virginia — and his anti-EPA message carried the day.

#NativeElect16

 

Second post: Talk about spin. Another NBC exit poll says a majority of voters say Obamacare went too far.
But the numbers tell me something else.
Yes, 45 percent don’t like the law. But 31 percent says the law did not go far enough (single payer?) and 18 percent say it’s about right.
#NativeElect16

 

First post: 6:09 pm.

img_0647

Reporting tonight from Studio 118 1/2 Updates on Twitter, FB and FB Live. Hashtag #NativeElect16

One of the issues that both Democrats and Republicans ignored in 2016 was climate change. Republicans pretend that it does not exist. And Democrats say, yes, it’s a tough problem, but refuse to propose the structural changes that will help the nation and the planet begin a transition away from fossil fuels.

So here are numbers from NBC on exit polls from Florida. By a huge margin voters are saying “do something.”

This is the Standing Rock vote, folks.

 

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